The TraderLion Podcast

+382% Return in 1 Year - Why Most Traders FAIL at Shorting from a Trading Champion

25 snips
Feb 28, 2026
Ty Rajnus, a day trader and systematic short-seller who ran Rajnus Capital and posted a 382% return, explains his backtested, data-first approach to micro- and nano-cap shorts. He discusses screening premarket spikes, liquidity transitions, dilution and locate risks, sizing from historical drawdowns, and why wide stops, avoiding T12s, and multi-strategy diversification matter.
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INSIGHT

Short Microcaps Aren't Infinitely Scalable

  • Short microcap trading is not infinitely scalable; locate and liquidity constraints cap deployable capital.
  • Ty balances this by allocating far more capital to his SPX zero-DTE options which are scalable.
INSIGHT

Dilution Is The Fundamental Downward Force

  • Dilution mechanics are the fundamental driver of microcap downtrends: shelf offerings, warrants, convertibles and recurring offerings steadily push price lower.
  • Ty checks filings and uses DilutionTracker to quantify shelves and cash reserves.
INSIGHT

High Locate Fees Signal Squeeze Risk

  • Extremely high locate fees often signal heavy short interest and greater squeeze risk.
  • Ty sometimes can't locate at reasonable price and later watches the same ticker spike 200%, grateful he was blocked.
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