Value Hive Podcast

[REPLAY] Otavio Costa: Precious Metals Deep Dive (2023)

Aug 29, 2025
Otavio Costa, a portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, shares his insights on the precious metals sector. He discusses the rising demand for gold and silver, emphasizing the importance of CAPEX in the industry. Otavio contrasts gold's historical significance with contemporary economic challenges, urging investors to rethink asset allocations. He also delves into the inflation super cycle and its impact on mining costs, highlighting the importance of selecting quality management teams and exploring junior explorers in this evolving market.
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INSIGHT

Secular Underinvestment In Gold Supply

  • Major miners have underinvested in gold reserves for years, causing secular supply decline.
  • The shift to 'green' metals reduces gold-focused discovery and supports higher gold prices long-term.
INSIGHT

Green Shift Drove Gold Supply Constraints

  • Majors redirected capital to copper and battery metals, deprioritizing gold projects and production growth.
  • That choice created constrained gold supply and an asymmetric opportunity in early-stage explorers.
ADVICE

How Majors Should Reallocate Capital

  • Show data linking capital spending and share performance to convince boards to reinvest in growth.
  • Use cashflow to fund internal exploration and an M&A arm to buy undervalued projects.
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