Daniel Davis Deep Dive

Iran War: Finishing the Job /Lt Col Daniel Davis

Mar 13, 2026
A sharp look at claims of a quick victory and why battlefield realities often disagree. Discussion of Iran’s asymmetric strengths, control of the Strait of Hormuz, and surprising oil flows. Analysis of escalating costs, mounting casualties, and how political messaging shapes strategy. Examination of global risks like disrupted shipping, fertilizer shortages, and dangers of military escalation.
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INSIGHT

Stronger Iranian Resilience Than Claimed

  • Despite U.S. strikes, Iran has increased oil exports and maintains visible leaders, undermining claims of total destruction.
  • Davis contrasts presidential claims of 'destroying' Iran with on-the-ground evidence of Iranian resilience.
INSIGHT

No Unlimited Munitions Or Time

  • Davis rejects the notion of 'unlimited ammunition' and warns time is limited as oil prices spike.
  • He links Strait of Hormuz closure to rapid increases in global oil prices and strategic pressure on the U.S.
INSIGHT

Hormuz Closure Causes Long Term Supply Damage

  • Closing the Strait of Hormuz inflicts acute and cascading economic damage beyond oil, including storage loss and damaged production capacity.
  • Davis notes Kuwait and Oman lost storage capacity and that damage could persist even if the Strait reopens.
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