Raging Moderates with Scott Galloway and Jessica Tarlov Did Trump Already LOSE the War in Iran? (ft. Ian Bremmer and Dan Senor)
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Mar 25, 2026 
Ian Bremmer, political scientist and Eurasia Group president, joins a sharp debate on whether Trump’s Iran war has any real endgame. They dig into what “winning” could mean, why military gains may mask strategic drift, how the conflict rattles oil markets and regional stability, and what the next month could bring.
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Trump's Threat To Blow Up Iran's Civilian Infrastructure
- Trump publicly threatened to destroy Iran's civilian energy and grid infrastructure but then paused after realizing the humanitarian and regional risks.
- Ian Bremmer warned such strikes would trigger desalination failures, mass panic, and Gulf exodus, prompting a tactical retreat.
Iran Hid Much Bigger Strike Capabilities Than Expected
- Iran has concealed much larger strike capabilities than analysts believed before the war, changing deterrence calculations.
- Dan Senor pointed to the Diego Garcia strike as the wake-up call revealing hidden missile and long-range capacities.
U.S. And Israel Share Tactical Goals But Differ Strategically
- U.S. and Israeli objectives differ: Israel leans toward regime removal while the U.S. under Trump prefers regime alteration if it avoids long wars.
- Ian Bremmer noted overlap exists around degrading Iran's weapons industrial base to reduce threats.