Flirting with Models

Michele Aghassi - Unintended Bets Everywhere (S6E7)

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Jun 12, 2023
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INSIGHT

Similar Factor Behavior Across Markets

  • Equity characteristics and portfolio design choices are more similar across geographies than different, driven by universal behavioral biases and risk compensations.
  • Differences (data, regulation) matter but usually adjust implementation rather than overturn the core approach.
INSIGHT

Emerging Equities Have A Generational Premium

  • AQR estimates emerging equities offer an unusually large expected premium versus developed markets over 5–10 years based on yield methods.
  • Emerging market volatility has fallen and diversification benefits risen, increasing the asset class appeal.
INSIGHT

China Affects Weight Not The Opportunity

  • Removing China from EM analyses hardly changes AQR's conclusions; the emerging opportunity persists ex-China.
  • China poses unique geopolitical/regulatory risks but shunning it can create tracking-error and opportunity-cost issues.
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