Unhedged

Trade wars, real wars and the markets

126 snips
Jan 20, 2026
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INSIGHT

Europe's Financial 'Nuclear' Options

  • Europe has developed an 'anti-coercion instrument' to retaliate financially against coercive states.
  • It can calibrate tariffs and sanctions as proportionate responses to economic or political blackmail.
INSIGHT

Nontraditional Retaliations Can Hurt Deeply

  • Europe could target U.S. tech protections or impose measures affecting U.S. financial plumbing as retaliatory options.
  • Such moves can be calibrated to hurt U.S. interests without immediate escalation to extreme measures.
INSIGHT

Numbers Mislead: Holdings Aren't Centrally Controlled

  • Large headline numbers of European holdings of U.S. assets mask fragmentation across private owners and custodians.
  • Coordinating a mass, unified sell-off of treasuries would be operationally and politically difficult.
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