In it to Win it

Don Durrett: Gold's Final Battle vs the S&P 500 Is Starting Now

Mar 12, 2026
Don Durrett, founder of GoldStockData.com and long‑time precious metals researcher. He links decades of macro history and rising debt to a potential rotation into gold and miners. He argues the Fed faces limits, outlines a gold floor near $4,500 and silver support around $72, and warns of structural silver deficits and risks that could drive capital away from the S&P 500.
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INSIGHT

Modern Liquidity Policy Created Persistent Debt Dependence

  • Bernanke-style liquidity policies (MMT-like) flattened recessions by printing and injecting debt, mirroring Japan's decades-long debt expansion.
  • Durrett links this policy turn after the dot-com bust to persistent debt growth and the current rise in gold.
INSIGHT

The Bond Market Hot Potato Threat

  • Surging deficits plus large Treasury rollovers create a looming 'hot potato' in bond markets where holders will try to dump bonds, pressuring yields and fueling gold demand.
  • Durrett quantifies rolling needs (example: $2T deficit + $7T rollover ≈ $9T borrowing) that squeeze the market.
INSIGHT

Why The Fed Is Running Out Of Options

  • The Fed is constrained: it cannot fully monetize trillions without causing runaway inflation, nor can it lower rates to zero without worsening inflation.
  • Durrett explains that printing enough to buy all issuance (e.g., adding ~$9T) would destroy currency credibility.
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