The Herd with Colin Cowherd

Sharp or Square - Super Bowl LX Analysis with John Middlekauff

Feb 4, 2026
John Middlekauff, former NFL personnel executive and host of Three & Out, brings sharp scouting perspective. He breaks down Drake Maye’s shoulder, Sam Darnold’s resurgence, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s skillset. They debate Mike Vrabel’s coaching impact versus Seattle’s young defensive mind and the betting angles shaping the Super Bowl matchup.
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ANECDOTE

Early Casino Memory Shaped Betting Interest

  • John Middlekauff remembers sneaking into a local casino as a teen and getting the gambling bug early.
  • He contrasts small-dollar blackjack days with today's higher stakes and his long-term dabbling in sports gambling.
INSIGHT

Injury Noise vs. Real Impact

  • Drake Maye's limited practice sparked concern, but John Middlekauff expects him to play and perform normally unless visibly hampered.
  • Simon Hunter and the market treated the injury cautiously, keeping the line steady at -4.5.
INSIGHT

Props Drive Super Bowl Handle

  • The Super Bowl's betting market is driven more by props and high-profile wagers than by the point spread alone.
  • Chad Millman and Simon Hunter note sports books focus liabilities on props, so the spread is a smaller concern.
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