Fill The Gap: The Official Podcast of CMT Association

Episode 59: Technical Analysis and Cryptocurrency with Javier Pineda, CMT

Jan 23, 2026
Javier Pineda, institutional portfolio manager and CMT charterholder who manages crypto strategies and wrote a book on crypto investing. He discusses applying technical analysis and on-chain metrics to crypto markets. Short takes cover Bitcoin cycles and halvings, challenges of aggregating decentralized volume data, how capital rotates from Bitcoin to Ethereum to altcoins, and why quantum computing is not an immediate threat to blockchain security.
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ADVICE

Use A Multi‑Layer Selection Checklist

  • Combine macro, Bitcoin cycle stage, on-chain metrics, relative strength, and technical indicators before timing entries.
  • Use aggregated crypto-specific indicators like stablecoin dominance along with RSI and pair strength.
INSIGHT

Halving Influence Is Diminishing

  • Bitcoin follows a multi‑phase cycle tied to halvings, bull runs, and bear markets with diminishing halving impact.
  • Javier notes halvings mattered more in early cycles and are less dominant now.
INSIGHT

Phased Leadership In Bull Runs

  • Money flows rotate by risk: Bitcoin leads early, then Ethereum, then top altcoins, then small altcoins in late bull phases.
  • This dominance shift reflects investors chasing higher returns as risk appetite grows.
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