RONZHEIMER. Politics and War

Putin's Plan for a Completely Different War

May 15, 2024
Filipp Piatov, journalist and colleague of the host, helps probe Kremlin power shifts and what they mean for the Russia-Ukraine war. They unpack Shoigu's dismissal, Belousov's rise, and infighting in the defense sector. The conversation covers Putin preparing for a long war, Western disunity, and recent fighting around Kharkiv.
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INSIGHT

Economist Appointed To Run A War Economy

  • Replacing Shoigu with economist Andrei Belusov signals a shift toward a war-focused economy and technical management.
  • Paul explains Belusov's background in Rosneft and says the Defense Ministry now functions partly as a finance ministry.
INSIGHT

Reshuffle Is About Loyalty Not Reform

  • Putin's personnel moves reward loyalty and deter criticism within the Kremlin.
  • Paul argues Shoigu remains close to Putin and that reshuffle signals loyalty is expected rather than open reform.
INSIGHT

Industry Clash Possibly Drove Shoigu's Exit

  • Internal conflicts between the Defense Ministry and arms industry may have prompted the change.
  • Filipp Piatov cites Meduza reporting that Shoigu clashed with Rostec over inadequate supplies, driving the appointment of a technocrat.
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