The Big Story How close is Canada to a Carney majority?
Feb 25, 2026
Mickey Djuric, an Ottawa-based POLITICO reporter covering Parliament Hill, breaks down recent floor crossings that pushed the Liberals to 169 seats. He discusses why moderate MPs are attracted to Mark Carney, the likelihood of more crossers, the impact of upcoming byelections, and what a slim majority could change in Parliament.
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Matt Jenneru's Davos U-Turn
- Matt Jenneru reversed his retirement and crossed the floor to join the Liberals after attending Mark Carney's Davos speech.
- Mickey Djuric had earlier broken the Chris D'Entremont floor-crossing story and says Jenneru's move was long rumored among MPs.
Poilievre's Rightward Drift Is Creating Centrist Exodus
- Pierre Poilievre's rightward tilt is alienating centrist Conservatives and prompting some to consider crossing to the Liberals.
- Poilievre has tried softening his image with mainstream interviews, grocery posts, and a business speech to appeal broader voters.
Carney's Economic Pivot Draws Conservative Interest
- Mark Carney is positioning himself as more conservative on economic policy, which attracts some disaffected Conservative MPs.
- Djuric notes Carney removed the carbon tax and emphasizes growth, deregulation, and nation-building to appeal to moderates.