The Jacob Shapiro Podcast #253 - Lose the War, Win the Peace
Feb 3, 2025
Jacek Bartosiak, founder of Strategy&Future and a distinguished geopolitical analyst from Poland, brings his sharp insights to the discussion. He argues that a systemic global war is already unfolding, emphasizing the implications for the U.S. if it falls into hubris. The conversation covers the precarious state of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, evolving EU dynamics post-Brexit, and the shifting influences of China and Russia. Bartosiak also warns of the need for Europe to reclaim agency and prioritizes peace over war in shaping future global stability.
AI Snips
Chapters
Books
Transcript
Episode notes
Turkey's foresight and Israel's burden
- Turkey predicted America's declining leadership and strategically prepared for it.
- Trump's support for Israel may shift the burden of Middle Eastern policy onto Israel, potentially reversing their roles.
Germany's Economic Choices
- Germany would choose economic cooperation with China if free to decide, but faces pressure from rising energy prices and US trade policy.
- If Trump overdoes sanctions, Europe will make a trade deal with China, leading to peace in Eurasia and US withdrawal.
China's Role in Peace
- China controls Russia and is interested in peace.
- A deal with China and Europe would ensure peace in Eurasia without US involvement.
