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Can Starmer protect the country (and himself)?

Feb 16, 2026
Discussion of a possible huge rise in UK defence spending and the political forces pushing for higher targets. Debate over competing budget pressures and messy defence procurement problems. Exploration of public attitudes to mobilisation and generational divides. Examination of internal Labour tensions, a probe into a journalist, and the risks to senior figures' standing.
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INSIGHT

Public Reluctance Undermines Defence Case

  • Tim Shipman warns public unwillingness to pay with taxes or service cuts weakens the defence case.
  • He argues voters don't grasp the low-level cyber and Russian threats requiring higher spending.
INSIGHT

Defence Spending Isn’t An Easy Sell

  • Tim Shipman highlights defence spending is often portrayed as economic stimulus but Treasury sees it as a sinkhole.
  • He says government lacks a persuasive, unifying story to convince the public.
ANECDOTE

Ajax Program Linked To Regional Job Politics

  • Tim Shipman recounts General Sir Nick Carter describing the Ajax programme as a costly disaster tied to regional job politics.
  • He notes defence procurement choices were driven partly to deliver jobs in South Wales rather than strategic industry clustering.
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