The Globalist Trump says the Iran war could end in ‘two to three weeks’ despite US troop build-up
Apr 1, 2026
Laura James, Middle East analyst at Oxford Analytica, gives geopolitical analysis on Iran, US troop moves and regional fallout. Lynne O'Donnell, Foreign Policy journalist, discusses Pakistan's mediation role and border dynamics. Emily Isar of ETH Zurich covers drone spillovers and European security ripples. Philippe Zuber, luxury-hospitality CEO, talks service philosophy in ultra-luxury hotels.
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Trump's Two To Three Week Exit May Not End Instability
- Donald Trump signalled a planned US drawdown in two to three weeks despite sending troops to enable a ground operation.
- Laura James warns withdrawal may still leave the Strait of Hormuz controlled by Iran, keeping oil prices elevated and regional instability prolonged.
Low Tech Threats Can Sustain A Strait Closure
- Ground forces would be required to clear low-tech threats like mines and drones that can keep the Strait of Hormuz closed.
- Laura James notes Iran could formalize tolls and restrictions on shipping, preserving revenue and prolonging elevated oil prices.
Israel Gains From Degradation Not Full Regime Change
- Israel has achieved regime degradation without regime change by degrading nuclear infrastructure and missiles.
- Laura James says Israel will align with US policy, valuing political alignment with Trump over complete removal of Iran's capabilities.