Politics Now By-election booby traps | LIVE SHOW
Feb 17, 2026
Casey Briggs, ABC Chief Elections and Data Analyst who decodes polling and voting patterns. Discussion covers Farrer by-election dynamics and whether One Nation can surge. They explore how parties are pitching to Gen Z and millennials. Conversation also looks at national realignment, urban losses and what new leadership’s strategy means for rebuilding support.
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
Leadership Change Doesn't Solve The Story
- The Liberal Party replaced its leader to stop electoral bleeding rather than to win new urban seats.
- Patricia Karvelas and Fran Kelly argue leadership change won't fix core story or policy problems alone.
Urban Losses And The One Nation Drain
- The Liberals are losing urban seats and bleeding voters to One Nation in outer suburbs and regional areas.
- That shift forces a strategic tension between holding conservative base voters and winning city electorates.
Taylor's Pitch Targets Older Voters
- Angus Taylor's opening pitch targeted older, right-leaning voters, not Gen Z or millennials.
- Casey Briggs notes One Nation's gains are concentrated among voters aged over 50, not younger cohorts.