Know Your Risk Podcast When Headlines Move Markets
Mar 3, 2026
They explore market reactions to geopolitical shocks and shifting oil flows. They debate the limits and risks of escorting tankers through the Strait of Hormuz. They discuss commodity rotations, gold miner moves, and how political signaling shapes investor psychology. They weigh long-term regional objectives, intelligence tradeoffs, and possible costs of deeper military involvement.
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Market Reaction Is Out Of Balance
- Markets are mispricing precious metals and equities amid geopolitical shocks.
- Zach Abraham argues gold miners are unfairly punished while equities and oil appear too sanguine given unfolding Middle East risks.
Don't Buy The Dip Without Verifying Resolution
- Don't blindly buy immediate dips without assessing which risks remain unresolved.
- Zach cautions that a small intraday drop doesn't mean systemic resolution, and to verify geopolitical outcomes before rotating into equities.
Tanker Escorts Won't Restore Full Exports
- U.S. escorting and insuring tankers is not a panacea for Strait of Hormuz disruption.
- Chase Taylor estimates escorts might recover only 10–30% of tanker throughput and would be resource-intensive and risky.