Bloomberg Intelligence

Warner Bros. Says Paramount’s New $31 Offer May Top Netflix

Feb 25, 2026
Geetha Ranganathan, media analyst covering the Warner Bros. Discovery sale process. Drew Redding, homebuilding analyst on Lowe’s results and housing trends. Mary Ross Gilbert, retail analyst on TJX performance and off-price resilience. They debate Paramount’s $31 bid versus Netflix, Lowe’s sales and remodeling demand, and why off-price retail weathers tariffs and shifting shopper behavior.
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INSIGHT

Paramount’s $31 Bid Forces A Competitive Response

  • Paramount raised its full-company bid to $31 a share and addressed Warner Bros. Discovery's financing concerns to make the offer more credible.
  • Paramount increased the termination fee to $7 billion, will cover financing costs and added a $0.25 per share quarterly ticking fee after September.
ADVICE

Netflix Should Consider Walking Away From The Bidding

  • Netflix can either walk away and keep the $2.8 billion termination fee or raise its bid modestly, but raising too far risks dangerous leverage for Netflix.
  • Geetha warns that gross debt could push above $100 billion and leverage toward 4x if Netflix escalates the offer.
INSIGHT

Combined Paramount And WBD Will Be Competitive But Cash Constrained

  • If Paramount wins, the combined company would be a stronger streaming competitor but will likely be constrained by heavy leverage and focus on cost cuts early on.
  • Geetha says high leverage will force prioritizing synergy targets over new content investment in the first years.
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