Intelligent Design the Future The Low-Confidence Science Propping Up Neo-Darwinian Claims
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Mar 18, 2026 Rob Stadler, a medical engineer and scientist, outlines six criteria for scientific confidence. He questions textbook claims about shared genes and homology and critiques fossil-based inferences. He reviews lab studies on E. coli and yeast showing constrained, short-term recoveries and limited paths for complex changes.
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Homology Shows Correlation Not Proven Causation
- Homology (shared genes or morphology) is correlation, not a repeatable causal demonstration of common ancestry.
- Rob Stadler shows the textbook claim that humans and bacteria "share genes inherited from a very distant common ancestor" fails tests for repeatability, direct measurement, and disclosed assumptions.
Prioritize High Confidence Experimental Evidence
- Prioritize high-confidence, prospective, repeatable experiments over low-confidence historical inferences when teaching or evaluating evolutionary claims.
- Stadler urges textbooks to present controlled lab studies before emphasizing homology and fossil narratives.
Fossils Confirm Existence Not Evolutionary Cause
- Fossil bones provide evidence organisms lived and died but do not directly demonstrate the causal process that turned A into B.
- Stadler emphasizes fossils lie far from the causal claim, so extrapolating evolutionary transitions from bones overextends the data.