The Core Report

#820 The Markets Crash Further On War Uncertainty

Mar 11, 2026
Ajay Rotti, founder and CEO of Tax Compaas, tax and FDI specialist. Manas Majumdar, PwC India partner and Oil & Gas sector lead. They discuss market turmoil from war risks and Strait of Hormuz attacks. They explore oil supply responses, LNG and LPG sourcing challenges, refinery trade-offs, and how relaxed China investment rules change approval timelines.
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INSIGHT

Oil Prices Drive Sentiment More Than Supply Shock

  • Oil prices are the primary driver of market sentiment amid the West Asia war but demand weakness mutes full price reflection.
  • Govindraj Ethiraj notes oil's link to expanding war theater and markets waiting for an end rather than just supply fixes.
INSIGHT

LNG Shortages Threaten Urea Output And Subsidies

  • LNG disruptions risk halting urea production since LNG is both energy source and feedstock for fertilizer plants.
  • Bloomberg reported some urea plants paused or advanced maintenance after Qatari LNG suspensions, potentially raising global urea prices.
INSIGHT

Crystal Sees India Absorb Shocks And Keep Growing

  • Despite external risks, Crystal Ratings expects India to absorb shocks and sustain healthy growth supported by fiscal measures.
  • Crystal projects real GDP at 7.1% in FY27, assuming normal monsoons and Brent at $75–$80 per barrel.
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