Increments #2 - Consequentialism II: Strange Beliefs
20 snips
May 22, 2020 The podcast delves into topics like moral decision-making perspectives, differing beliefs, valuing future generations, and ethical implications of long-term consequentialism. Discussions also cover career decision-making, hidden motivations, radical proposals, and the debate between radical reform and incremental change within a liberal community.
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
Progress Comes From Critique And Explanation
- Progress requires mechanisms that enable criticism, explanation, and error correction.
- Consequentialist frameworks are useful because they let us evaluate and improve moral rules over time.
Belief Is For Decision Making, Not Just Truth
- Epistemic modesty targets the belief you should hold to make decisions under uncertainty.
- Truth production is separate; beliefs matter because agents must act with imperfect information.
Default To The Outside View
- Use outside views when you lack special information to avoid overconfidence.
- Consult reference classes and expert consensus rather than trusting gut-level insider estimates.