Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar

4/2/26: US Allies Turn On Trump, Israel Takes Massive Fire, Iran War Ending US Dominance, AI Bubble

19 snips
Apr 2, 2026
Nicholas Mulder, Cornell historian focused on economic warfare and sanctions, explains how U.S. sanctions are losing bite. He breaks down shadow fleets, yuan and crypto workarounds, and Iran’s tolling tactics. Conversation also covers rising U.S. borrowing costs tied to foreign central bank moves and strains in the global AI buildout.
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INSIGHT

Seizing Uranium Would Be A Massive Operation

  • A proposed raid to seize Iranian uranium would require airlifting troops, excavators, and building a temporary runway, taking weeks under fire deep inside Iran.
  • Saagar flagged moving excavators to San Diego naval yards and the presence of 82nd Airborne as suggestive indicators.
INSIGHT

Iranian Strikes Are Escalating Against Israel And US

  • Iran and its proxies have intensified strikes against Israel and US forces, depleting interceptor stocks and causing confirmed US casualties and wounded.
  • Multiple attacks hit Gulf facilities, Jordan, and refineries, demonstrating sustained asymmetric capability.
INSIGHT

Sanctions Are Fueling A Shadow Economy

  • Nicholas Mulder argues US unilateral sanctions are losing efficacy as targeted states cooperate, build shadow fleets, and create alternative trade/payment routes.
  • He says sanctions often harden targets and can become an on-ramp to war rather than a coercive alternative.
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