The Econoclasts

2025: The West’s annus horribilis

6 snips
Dec 31, 2025
2025 emerges as a critical year with shifting geopolitics, marked by victories for Russia, China, and a tariff-driven Trump. The hosts explore Europe’s precarious position, highlighting failures in green policy and the erosion of international law. They discuss the rise of 'cloud capital' and the chilling prospects of AI-driven warfare, raising concerns about human oversight. The discussion culminates in a reflection on the meaning of hope versus mere optimism as they face the future in a world dominated by concentrated power.
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INSIGHT

Europe Misjudged The Trump Playbook

  • Wolfgang Munchau calls 2025 an 'annus horribilis' for the EU driven by strategic misjudgements and a lack of preparation for Trump-era policies.
  • He argues Europe underestimated Trump's blend of commercial deals and peace initiatives, leaving it unprepared and weakened.
INSIGHT

The Green Transition Lost Its Momentum

  • Yanis says 2025 delivered the final blow to the international green transition as Europe abandons the Green Deal and the US blocks climate discussion.
  • He links this collapse to the geopolitical victories of Putin, Xi and Trump that deprioritised climate action.
INSIGHT

International Law Was Sidestepped

  • Yanis asserts international law suffered in 2025 as Western states ignored institutions like the ICC to suit geopolitical aims.
  • He warns this signals to the global South that Western commitment to international law was always conditional.
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