Australian Investors Podcast

WOW, CBA & more: Good, Bad & Ugly of ASX reporting season ft. Seneca

Sep 15, 2025
Luke Larrative from Seneca shares his insights on the recent ASX reporting season, highlighting standout winners like SiteMinder and the disappointing performances of major players like CSL and CBA. He delves into the challenges faced by healthcare and retail sectors, discussing how market reactions are shaping stock valuations. The conversation also touches on ethical investing and the complexities of deep sea mining, revealing critical opportunities in small and mid-cap stocks. Tune in for valuable investment strategies and market analysis!
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INSIGHT

AFG's Conservative Loan Book And Growth Runway

  • AFG (Australian Finance Group) has conservative underwriting with minimal historical loan losses and offers attractive yields during the cycle.
  • Seneca views it as a long-term compounder benefiting from lending and mortgage-broking exposure.
ADVICE

Price The Certainty, Not Just Growth

  • When a large-cap growth stock like CSL misses expectations, expect a sharp de-rating even if growth later resumes.
  • Price you pay matters: loss of perceived certainty cuts multiples rapidly and may persist.
INSIGHT

Supermarket Split: Narrative Drives Rotation

  • Woolworths and Coles diverged after tobacco revenue impacts, causing investor rotation between supermarkets.
  • Market re-rates quickly on competing narratives about earnings impact and relative valuation.
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