The David Lin Report ‘End Of The World’ Trade: ‘Big Short’ Investor Warns 'We're Playing With Fire' | Danny Moses
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Feb 19, 2026 Danny Moses, former Wall Street trader and founder of Moses Ventures, famed for his 'Big Short' trade and market commentary. He warns about a fragile financial system amid rising global debt and a weakening dollar. He discusses risks from treasuries and commodities, bullish convictions in energy, uranium, gold, and silver, and how geopolitics and policy choices could spark rapid market moves.
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How The Big Short Originated
- Danny Moses recounts discovering Moody's lacked a model for down-home prices, which helped trigger the Big Short thesis.
- He and his team tracked securitization pools and fixed-income signals before the crash, leading to their trades.
Fragile System From Weak Dollar And Debt
- Danny warns the weak dollar and rising global debt create fragile conditions that can quickly cascade across assets.
- He considers treasuries, commodities, and foreign shocks as plausible triggers for rapid market stress.
Watch Long-End Yields Closely
- Avoid assuming modest rate moves are benign; a move to 5% on the US 10-year would create a systemic crisis.
- Monitor long-end yields closely because higher risk-free rates raise borrowing costs across the economy.
