The Lawfare Podcast

Rational Security: The “Adverse Possession” Edition

Dec 10, 2025
Joining the discussion are Tyler McBrien, Managing Editor at Lawfare, and Alex Zerden, a Contributing Editor focused on sanctions and economic statecraft. They dive into Syria's post-Assad landscape, exploring political changes and economic challenges. The Trump administration's new National Security Strategy is analyzed for its isolationist undertones and focus on border security. Plus, Jamie Dimon's ambitious $1.5 trillion investment initiative is scrutinized for its potential impact on national security and the economy.
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INSIGHT

Sanction Relief Isn’t Economic Reconstruction

  • Economic liberalization has begun with delistings and institutional visits, but Syria remains a war-ravaged, kleptocratic economy needing massive rebuilding.
  • Structural problems and concentrated control of industries by the new leadership complicate recovery.
INSIGHT

Neighbors Set The Security Terms

  • Regional actors, especially Israel and Turkey, actively shape Syria's security environment and limit Damascus's freedom of action.
  • Israeli strikes and Turkish objections to Kurdish autonomy create persistent external pressure on the new government.
INSIGHT

Policy Turn Driven By Presidential Capital

  • The Trump administration's Syria pivot reflects concentrated presidential influence and unconventional policymaking rather than broad interagency consensus.
  • That personalization makes the policy fragile if presidential attention or political capital wanes.
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