The Missing Middle Podcast

The Inflation Number You Hear vs. The One You Feel

10 snips
Apr 1, 2026
They unpack why the official inflation number can feel nothing like your grocery bill or rent. They explore shrinkflation, subtle quality cuts, and which categories have jumped most. They explain how different spending patterns and housing situations create wildly different inflation experiences for different people.
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INSIGHT

How The Official Inflation Number Is Constructed

  • Official inflation is a weighted average based on a representative spending basket tracked over time.
  • StatsCan updates item weights and adjusts for size and quality changes before blending categories into a single CPI number.
INSIGHT

Personal Spending Baskets Drive Different Inflation Experiences

  • Different families face different inflation because their personal spending baskets vary widely across things like daycare, travel, and housing.
  • Categories such as food and shelter hurt lower-income Canadians more because they take a larger share of paychecks.
INSIGHT

Which CPI Categories Have Risen Most Since 2002

  • Since 2002, alcohol/tobacco/cannabis and food rose fastest, while recreation, education, and reading rose little and clothing saw deflation.
  • That pattern means consumers spending more on food and rent have been disproportionately hurt.
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