
The Big Story What does Trump's 'forever deal' mean for Canada's arctic and NATO?
Jan 27, 2026
Robert Baines, President of the NATO Association of Canada and defence commentator, digs into Arctic security and alliance cohesion. He discusses Trump’s Greenland framework and what it revealed about Canadian Arctic vulnerabilities. He examines NATO’s role, risks to collective trust, and why Canada must boost northern defence and spending.
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Unity Is NATO's Core Strength
- NATO's strength rests on unity and mutual trust, not strict rules or automatic actions.
- Robert Baines warns that a member who plays zero-sum politics undermines the alliance's deterrence power.
Framework Was Mostly Status Quo
- The NATO Secretary General clarified existing options rather than striking a novel territorial deal over Greenland.
- Baines says Trump's gambit sought mineral rights and bases but largely restated the status quo.
Arctic Is A New NATO Priority
- NATO's Arctic focus is recent and accelerated by Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine.
- Baines notes the alliance shifted from respecting an Arctic demilitarized forum to actively beefing up northern security.
