TED Talks Daily

The biggest global risks for 2026 | Ian Bremmer

161 snips
Jan 6, 2026
In this insightful discussion, Ian Bremmer, a renowned political scientist and founder of Eurasia Group, explores the most pressing global risks facing the world in 2026. He delves into the U.S. extraction of Venezuela's Maduro and its implications for governance. Bremmer explains Trump's 'Donroe doctrine' and its effects on U.S. regional dominance. He highlights the risks of political upheaval in America, NATO's challenges with Russia, and the evolving U.S.-China relations, ending on a hopeful note about opportunities emerging from crises.
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INSIGHT

No Governance Plan After Regime Removal

  • There was extensive preplanning and local intelligence that enabled the Maduro operation, but no governance plan followed his removal.
  • Bremmer calls the aftermath "regime roulette," warning the U.S. lacks a clear post-extraction strategy.
INSIGHT

The 'Donro Doctrine' Reasserts US Hegemony

  • Bremmer coins the "Donro doctrine" to describe Trump's asserted hemispheric authority and willingness to use security tools over economic ones.
  • He predicts Trump will lean into military and political pressure in the Western Hemisphere rather than tariffs.
INSIGHT

TACO vs FAFO: Mixed Signals From The U.S.

  • Trump alternates between "TACO" (backing down) and "FAFO" (punishing challengers), creating unpredictable signals for allies and adversaries.
  • Bremmer says countries will test U.S. resolve and calibrate responses accordingly, increasing geopolitical volatility.
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