
The Rest Is Politics: Leading 176. How Close Are We To War With Iran? (Robert Malley)
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Feb 16, 2026 Robert Malley, former U.S. diplomat and lead negotiator on the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, discusses US-Iran trajectories and the chances of renewed diplomacy or escalation. He examines Trump’s foreign policy style and its limits. He also reflects on Gaza’s long-term crisis, why the two-state solution looks unviable, and the challenges of negotiating with adversaries.
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October 7 As Historical Reenactment
- October 7 and the aftermath reenacted deep historical emotions on both Israeli and Palestinian sides.
- Malley argues both the attack and the Israeli response reflect longstanding societal patterns, not anomalies.
Ceasefires Become New 'Normal'
- A partial reduction in violence becomes a new, lower baseline that the world accepts as 'improvement'.
- Malley notes media churn and political attention shifts hide ongoing humanitarian catastrophe.
Depoliticized Reconstruction Risks Control
- The Trump 'plan' treats Gaza's problems as humanitarian and depoliticizes Palestinian rights.
- Malley warns reconstruction without legitimate Palestinian representation yields surveillance and no self-determination.





