On The Market The Housing Market Freezes as Americans Brace for War
Mar 10, 2026
Tense global headlines and rising oil prices threaten to reverse recent mortgage relief. Buyers and sellers are retreating, causing transactions to stall and inventory to wobble. Some Midwest and Northeast markets keep gaining while many Sunbelt hotspots cool. A new lawsuit flags risks for real estate teams using AI calling tools.
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Iran Conflict Causing Short Term Market Stall
- The Iran conflict creates uncertainty that likely stalls transactions as buyers and sellers both pause to watch energy and inflation impacts.
- Dave and Kathy note oil jumped ~50% (from ~$65 to ~$90) so energy-driven inflation could push mortgage rates higher if persistent.
Low Transaction Volume Amplifies News Impact
- Transaction volume is at multi-decade lows (~3.9M pace) so even small shocks can meaningfully reduce sales.
- Dave links low volume to caution: buyers and sellers delaying moves increases market stability but hurts industry revenue.
Check Both Sides Before Predicting A Crash
- Remember both buyers and sellers are pulling back, so falling transaction volume doesn't automatically mean price collapses.
- Dave advises scrutinizing both sides of the market before accepting dramatic crash claims.