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Gold and Silver Wrecked on Hormuz Shutdown — Why Craig Hemke Isn't Selling | $6,000 Target

9 snips
Mar 3, 2026
Craig Hemke, founder of TF Metals Report and a noted precious-metals analyst, explains why gold and silver plunged during the Hormuz shutdown yet his $6,000 gold thesis stays intact. He breaks down algorithmic liquidation, dollar strength, rising physical vs paper-market tensions, record-low COMEX open interest, and potential shifts in global market dynamics.
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ADVICE

Sell Some At Tops And Buy Some At Washouts

  • When trading precious metals, sell some at euphoric highs and buy some when things look worst to manage risk.
  • Hemke's trader adage: always be ready to sell when things look rosiest and buy when they look worst.
INSIGHT

Specific Support Levels That Signal Trend Change

  • Key support levels to watch: April front-month gold around $4,700–$4,800 and silver below $70 (March contract ~63.90) signal trend change if broken.
  • Hemke says lower lows beneath recent February bottoms would indicate a real trend shift, not just consolidation.
INSIGHT

Falling Open Interest Suggests Room For Institutional Reentry

  • Open interest has trended downward since September and lacks the institutional long positions that fueled past rallies.
  • Hemke tracks daily open interest back to 2012 and notes December contract rolloffs and lower institutional participation explain current lows.
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