Establish The Run Fantasy Football The Best Bets To Make In NFL Awards Markets Right Now (Episode 917 with Adam Levitan, Ryan Reynolds, Mark Dankenbring)
Oct 2, 2025
Dive into the exciting world of NFL Awards Markets as the hosts uncover the hidden gems in betting. They debate the odds for MVP contenders like Josh Allen and Mahomes, while questioning overpriced favorites for Offensive Rookie of the Year. The favorite for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Abdul Carter, is pitted against intriguing long shots. They analyze Offensive Player of the Year with Puka emerging as a top contender. Plus, strategies for wagering on Coach of the Year and insights into the Comeback Player of the Year fill this lively discussion.
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Episode notes
Past Market Mistakes Paid Big
- Adam recalled last year when books mispriced Sam Darnold and they profited by betting Joe Burrow.
- He also referenced markets pricing Deshaun Watson despite off-field issues as an example of voter unpredictability.
Awards Markets Are Soft And Mistake-Prone
- Awards markets are softer and more mistake-prone than team betting markets.
- Voter rules and narratives often create exploitable mispricings.
Attack Offensive Rookie Odds When Favorites Look Shaky
- Avoid short favorites in Offensive Rookie of the Year when underlying metrics and usage are weak.
- Target longer-priced rookies who will see clear volume increases.