DW Berlin Briefing - Inside German politics Under pressure: Can Merz steer Germany through 2026?
Mar 13, 2026
Tense politics ahead as five regional votes could reshape power and weaken coalition partners. Energy and Iran-driven oil shocks threaten growth and industry orders. A dramatic Green surge in Baden-Württemberg upends traditional party loyalties. Discussions focus on rising AfD influence and the risks it poses for coalition-building and democratic norms.
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Middle East Shock Risks German Growth
- Iran-linked oil price spikes can shave up to 0.2% off German GDP this year.
- Michaela Küfner cites a fresh study and business warnings of ~10% fewer export orders hitting manufacturers like Mercedes and Porsche.
SPD Identity Crisis Threatens Coalition Stability
- The SPD is hemorrhaging traditional voters and risks losing clear identity while in coalition.
- Max Hoffman notes the party scored only 5.5% in Baden-Württemberg, nearly falling below the parliamentary threshold.
Pragmatic Greens Beat Conservatives In Auto Heartland
- Baden-Württemberg's Greens are pragmatic and pro-business, making them competitive in a car-industry state.
- Julia Saudelli describes them as 'conservative Greens' balancing jobs, the economy and environmental aims.