Risk of Ruin

Rocket Man

23 snips
Oct 20, 2023
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ANECDOTE

Fund Took A Large Concentrated Bet

  • Evan Tindell grew his Twitter position from 8–10% up to about 20% of his fund during the gap.
  • He accepted concentrated risk because the expected payoff exceeded potential drawdowns.
ANECDOTE

Reporter Declined To Trade

  • Chancery Daily publicly covered the case but deliberately avoided trading to prevent bias.
  • She feared even minor bias would taint live reporting and analysis.
INSIGHT

Account For Rare Black‑Swan Risks

  • Traders considered low-probability catastrophic scenarios like corruption or other unprecedented events.
  • Those tail risks reduced position size for some and explained part of the persistent spread.
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