Bulwark Takes Tim Miller: Florida Just Shocked Everyone
Mar 26, 2026
A spirited look at a surprising Democratic win in deep-red Florida and whether it signals a larger political shift. Conversation highlights internal polling that hints at statewide competitiveness. Discussion of unanswered corruption questions and how limited investigations affect public knowledge. Voters’ focus on cost-of-living concerns and local turnout dynamics are also explored.
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Florida Could Return To The Map
- Florida could be competitive again as internal polling suggests Democrats might win the governorship or Senate if the election were held today.
- A well-sourced Florida insider told Tim Miller that current on-the-ground data points to a potential Democratic comeback statewide.
Small Florida Shifts Have Big National Consequences
- Even a loss by a few points in Florida would represent an enormous shift from 2024 and could reshape national House and Senate dynamics.
- Miller argues an eight- to thirteen-point movement toward Democrats would push many House districts and put the Senate on the edge.
Investigations Into White Collar Crime Have Fallen
- Tim Miller highlights a steep drop in white-collar investigations under the current administration, leaving major questions about Trump-family deals unanswered.
- He notes state attorneys general and New York may need to pursue probes because federal oversight appears diminished.