
Change Agents with Andy Stumpf DARPA, Drone Warfare & AI: How the U.S. Military Is Preparing for the Next War
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Feb 11, 2026 Bill Thompson, retired Chief Warrant Officer and former DARPA evaluator specializing in AI, signals, and human intelligence, and founder of the Spartan Forge app. He breaks down how cheap commercial drones shifted modern combat. He explores counter-drone futures, smartphone surveillance in raids, how authoritarian regimes and satellite workarounds affect communication, and vulnerabilities in U.S. infrastructure and data harvesting.
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DARPA’s High-Risk Research Role
- DARPA funds high-risk, high-reward research to push technical frontiers rather than field finished systems.
- During the Global War on Terror it shifted to push projects closer to soldier-ready capabilities.
Drones Changed The Cost Equation
- Cheap commercial drones flipped the cost equation for delivering kinetic effects on the battlefield.
- Bill Thompson says $2,000 quadcopters now achieve effects that once cost hundreds of thousands.
The Drone Countermeasure Cycle
- Drone warfare triggers a cycle of countermeasures and counter-countermeasures across actors.
- Autonomous edge AI and RF/EM tactics will shape future symmetric and asymmetric responses.

