The David Lin Report ‘Largest Ever Short’ Setup Could Snap Hard, Reveals Trader | Jason Shapiro
15 snips
Feb 11, 2026 
Jason Shapiro, founder of the Crowded Market Report and veteran trader who tracks positioning across markets, breaks down the biggest crowded trades. He flags massive short interest in bonds, heavy sugar shorts and their spillover into energy, and a materials/energy rotation. Short, punchy takes on positioning, parabolic moves, and what he is watching next.
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Bitcoin Is Likely To Behave Normally
- Bitcoin debate is polarized between extreme bulls and bears, while the likely path is moderation.
- Lower transactional friction and ETFs reduce Bitcoin's tail-return potential compared with early days.
Use Participation And Positioning For Timing
- Use ‘the hall’ (participation) and positioning to time contrarian entries: buy when the hall is empty and positioning is short.
- Wait for market confirmation to avoid being early or trapped by strong trends.
Historic TLT Shorts Create Contrarian Edge
- Bonds currently show one of the largest-ever short positions in TLT while prices are rising.
- That disconnect creates a contrarian opportunity to be long fixed income if market action confirms it.
