The International Risk Podcast Episode 340: Iran Escalates: How Geopolitical Shocks and the Strait of Hormuz Becomes an Organisational Crisis
In this episode, we host K. Campbell to examine how the escalating conflict with Iran should be understood not only as a military confrontation but as a wider risk event with implications for shipping, supply chains, critical infrastructure, and corporate decision-making. Drawing on his background in intelligence and security risk management, Campbell explains why the key escalation indicator is the point at which the Iranian regime believes its survival is truly at stake and why threats to the Strait of Hormuz, civilian infrastructure, and international targets should be read through that lens rather than through sensational headlines.
We discuss the warning indicators he is watching most closely, why so many so-called “black swan” events are in fact failures of imagination, how red-teaming can help organisations think more clearly about escalation, and why leaders should focus less on surprise and more on preparedness.
K. Campbell, CBCP, CPP® is a seasoned security and intelligence professional and former US military intelligence officer with extensive experience in security risk management, executive protection, threat assessment, and business continuity. His previous roles included leadership positions in National Security Agency units, the Defence Intelligence Agency, the Joint Staff, and a special operations staff, and he co-led and led highly sensitive intelligence and planning efforts against North Korea and Iran, including war planning against Iran’s WMD programmes. He has also led and co-led business continuity planning in four organisations, served on the technical committee that updated the ASIS International security risk assessment standard approved by ANSI in April 2024, and contributes to Homeland Security Today and the Domestic Preparedness Journal.
The International Risk Podcast brings you conversations with global experts, frontline practitioners, and senior decision-makers who are shaping how we understand and respond to international risk. From geopolitical instability and organised crime to cybersecurity threats and hybrid warfare, each episode explores the forces transforming our world and what smart leaders must do to navigate them. Whether you’re a board member, policymaker, or risk professional, The International Risk Podcast delivers actionable insights, sharp analysis, and real-world stories that matter.
The International Risk Podcast is sponsored by Conducttr, a realistic crisis exercise platform. Conducttr offers crisis exercising software for corporates, consultants, humanitarian, and defence & security clients. Visit Conducttr to learn more.
Dominic Bowen is the host of The International Risk Podcast and Europe’s leading expert on international risk and crisis management. As Head of Strategic Advisory and Partner at one of Europe’s leading risk management consulting firms, Dominic advises CEOs, boards, and senior executives across the continent on how to prepare for uncertainty and act with intent. He has spent decades working in war zones, advising multinational companies, and supporting Europe’s business leaders. Dominic is the go-to business advisor for leaders navigating risk, crisis, and strategy; trusted for his clarity, calmness under pressure, and ability to turn volatility into competitive advantage. Dominic equips today’s business leaders with the insight and confidence to lead through disruption and deliver sustained strategic advantage.
Subscribe for all our updates!