The Rest Is Politics: US 184. Trump's Destroying JD Vance And Rubio's Next
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May 6, 2026 They debate whether a short Iran memorandum could end the US-Iran conflict and the political minefields around uranium, proxies and Israeli concerns. They trace a brewing intra-GOP fight as Trump targets J.D. Vance and maneuvers against Marco Rubio. They map midwestern Senate flashpoints, crypto donor influence in Ohio primaries, and the broader succession challenge for Trump-era Republicans.
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One Page Iran Deal Risks Superficial Win
- A one-page Iran deal would prioritise reopening the Strait of Hormuz while postponing harder issues like enrichment limits, proxies, and missiles.
- Katty Kay and Anthony Scaramucci warn this risks a politically framed "win" that leaves Iran advantaged and unresolved costs from the conflict.
Oil Prices Drive Trump's Exit Strategy
- Oil prices and control of the Strait of Hormuz are the dominant variables shaping Trump's calculus on ending the Iran war.
- Anthony says Trump wants prices down before November and will brand any withdrawal as a victory even if substantively weaker than the JCPOA.
Rubio Gaining Appeal Beyond MAGA
- Marco Rubio's recent visibility and handling of the Iran war have improved his standing among non‑MAGA voters relative to J.D. Vance.
- Polling and focus groups show Rubio can attract MAGA plus persuadable conservatives, while Vance has harder limits.