Squawk on the Street

SOTS 2nd Hour: Insured Losses, Apollo's Chief Economist, & An AI CEO's New Warning 1/27/26

Jan 27, 2026
Sarah James, an equity analyst focused on health insurers, and Torsten Slok, Apollo’s global chief economist, join the conversation. They discuss a new Medicare proposal pressuring insurer stocks and why some see a buying opportunity. Torsten breaks down growth drivers, AI capex, inflation stickiness, and Fed rate risks. The hour also touches on big AI headlines and supply-chain moves in tech.
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ANECDOTE

AI News Trumped Tariff Fears

  • Carl and the team note AI news can outweigh tariff headlines, citing SK Hynix's Microsoft AI deal.
  • They observed the South Korean KOSPI hit a new high despite tariff threats.
INSIGHT

Stronger Growth Makes Rate Cuts Harder

  • Torsten Slok says recent fiscal and policy changes flip the outlook from slowdown to stronger growth this year.
  • He warns higher growth plus sticky ~3% inflation makes Fed rate cuts unlikely in 2026.
INSIGHT

Fiscal Risk Elevates Term Premium

  • Slok highlights a rising term premium and fiscal risks pushing long rates higher despite expectations of Fed cuts.
  • He notes private long-duration assets now compete with 30-year Treasuries and pressure yields structurally.
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