Wealthion - Be Financially Resilient

Michael Howell: Monetary Inflation Is Here

16 snips
Jun 10, 2025
In this insightful discussion, Michael Howell, Managing Director of Crossborder Capital and a global liquidity expert, warns of impending monetary inflation amid rising global bond yields. He explains the dangers of current debt-to-liquidity mismatches and critiques the outdated 60/40 portfolio model. Howell highlights how China's liquidity surge may be driving gold and Bitcoin markets, and discusses the looming 2026–2028 refinancing cliff that could spell crisis. This conversation is a must-listen for anyone evaluating their investment strategies in a volatile economy.
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INSIGHT

Bank Purchases Drive Monetary Inflation

  • Banks’ increased purchase of government debt is boosting money supply, effectively monetizing deficit spending.
  • This process causes monetary inflation, harmful for traditional bond investments but supportive of real assets.
ADVICE

Ditch 60/40, Buy Inflation Hedges

  • Avoid the traditional 60/40 stocks and bonds portfolio in a world of monetary inflation.
  • Invest in dedicated inflation hedges like gold, Bitcoin, prime residential real estate, and selected equities.
INSIGHT

Tariffs Raise Recession Risk

  • There is about a 50-50 chance of recession this year largely due to tariff-related tax increases slowing the economy.
  • Sensitive sectors like airlines and restaurants signal weakening consumer and business activity amid uncertainty.
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