Geopolitical Cousins

Against Punditry

41 snips
Jan 21, 2026
Marko and Jacob tackle bias in geopolitical analysis, arguing for the importance of stripping away preconceived notions. They explore Trump’s tariff tactics and Canada’s shifting alliances with China. The duo emphasizes empathetic analysis and the necessity of understanding opposing viewpoints for robust arguments. They also discuss the relationship between physical fitness and cognitive clarity in decision-making. Ultimately, they challenge aspiring analysts to foster independence and humor in their communication.
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ADVICE

Make The Case For The Other Side

  • Use empathetic analysis: argue convincingly for the other side to cleanse bias.
  • Marko says inhabiting opponents' perspectives sharpens predictions and prevents cheerleading.
ANECDOTE

Role‑Play To See The Other Side

  • Marko forced a skeptical analyst to role-play Iran's supreme leader to understand motives.
  • The analyst later admitted empathetic analysis worked but didn't want to continue the job.
ADVICE

Make Predictions Testable

  • Define binary, tradeable criteria to test your geopolitical predictions.
  • Jacob Shapiro stresses expressing views as measurable outcomes to learn whether you're right.
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