Americano Will Donald Trump avoid the mistakes made by George Bush in Iraq?
10 snips
Mar 10, 2026 
Robert Bryce, energy expert who writes on gas and oil markets, and Jacob Heilbrunn, foreign policy editor and commentator, discuss Trump’s Middle East messaging and his talks with Putin. They debate risks of military escalation, effects on oil and gas markets, Britain’s energy vulnerability, and whether diplomacy with Russia could change Iran’s behavior.
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Trump Wants a Crushing Victory In Iran
- Donald Trump signals he wants a crushing, humiliating victory in Iran rather than a negotiated settlement.
- Jacob Heilbrunn notes Trump's dominance style and recent heavy bombing orders show he is not in a concessive mood despite calming rhetoric.
Gas Prices Threaten Britain More Than Oil
- The conflict's energy impact goes beyond oil to natural gas, which threatens Britain and Europe more immediately.
- Robert Bryce highlights Dutch TTF gas jumping from $11.08 to $19 while U.S. gas stayed near $3, risking UK shortages.
Hormuz Choke Point Multiplies Risk
- Threats to shut the Strait of Hormuz create outsized disruption because about 20% of global crude and LNG flows there.
- Robert Bryce and Jacob Heilbrunn stress Iranian choke points can spike global energy markets and cause strategic panic.