ChinaTalk

Japan's New Prime Minister: What to Expect

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Oct 29, 2025
Tobias Harris, a consultant on Japanese politics and host of the Observing Japan Substack, shares insights on the rise of Japan's new Prime Minister, Takaichi. He delves into her political background and hawkish stance on defense. Harris discusses how her leadership may impact Japan's international relations, especially with the U.S. He also highlights the challenges she faces domestically, including coalition dynamics and government stability, while assessing the significance of having Japan's first female prime minister.
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ANECDOTE

Abe's Protégé With A Different Style

  • Takaichi rose through decades in the Diet and rode Abe's patronage to higher office.
  • She contrasts with Abe as a self-made, policy-detailed politician with strong grassroots appeal.
INSIGHT

Broader National-Security Hawkism

  • Takaichi is a hawk who frames threats broadly: military, food, energy, economic and supply-chain security.
  • Her campaign prioritized hardening Japan and strengthening capabilities across sectors.
ADVICE

Create A Cabinet-Level Intelligence Office

  • Build a centralized intelligence agency under the prime minister to consolidate Japan's scattered intelligence functions.
  • Elevate that agency to the same level as the national security adviser for coordinated analysis and action.
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