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Michael Green: Where the Real Poverty Line Is | Why Lower Inflation Isn’t Fixing the Cost of Living

5 snips
Dec 10, 2025
Michael Green, chief strategist at Simplify Asset Management and author of 'My Life Is a Lie', discusses the shortcomings of the current poverty line definition. He reveals why a salary up to $140,000 still feels precarious for many families and breaks down how inflation measures fail to reflect real living costs. Green highlights the impact of high childcare expenses and the disparity in benefits for low-income households. He also explains the economic implications of AI growth versus its limited benefits for the average person.
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INSIGHT

Outdated Poverty Line Masks Reality

  • The official US poverty line was built from a 1960s food multiplier and now massively understates real basic needs.
  • That outdated measure creates benefit cliffs where earning more can reduce total cash available.
INSIGHT

Lower Inflation Doesn’t Fix Precarity

  • Many households are already 'underwater' versus the cash cost of living, so modest inflation still pushes them deeper into precarity.
  • A small positive inflation rate with equal wage growth doesn't close a real purchasing gap when price levels are above incomes.
INSIGHT

Real Living Costs For A Family Of Four

  • A living-wage basic needs budget for a family of four often ranges $90k–$140k and can reach $180k in expensive metros.
  • Childcare alone can be roughly $32k per year, making modern family costs far higher than official poverty measures.
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