Matt Lewis Can't Lose The Wheels Are Coming Off: Trump’s Haphazard Iran War and Domestic Meltdown
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Mar 13, 2026 Bill Scher, political analyst and Washington Monthly writer, breaks down GOP chaos and foreign-policy fallout. They tackle Trump’s risky Iran escalation and quagmire dangers. They unpack the SAVE Act’s strict ID push and turnout implications. They explore GOP fractures, 2026 midterm swing potential, and a brewing 2028 GOP succession clash.
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SAVE Act Is A Politically Miscalculated Bundle
- The SAVE Act bundles strict voter ID with unrelated culture-war items, making it a political Hail Mary rather than a focused reform.
- Bill Scher notes passport and birth certificate requirements would disproportionately affect low-passport red states and low-propensity Republican voters.
Voter ID Could Backfire On Republicans
- Republicans mistakenly assume strict ID rules will reliably help them, but data show low-propensity GOP voters lack passports and could be suppressed.
- Scher cites state passport data where the bottom 12 states are red, undercutting the law's political logic.
Meet Voters Where They Are
- Don't run campaigns around issues voters aren't worried about; meet voters where they are instead of recycling past culture-war plays.
- Scher warns trans-athlete and immigration theatrics won't move the current electorate like economic or affordability messages do.
