Less Noise, More Signal The Market Warned Us Months Ago, Everyone Missed It
Mar 30, 2026
Market Radar (primary) — macro expert using regime-based, data-driven models. Market Radar (secondary) — co-founder/partner adding analysis on regime checks and Bitcoin. They unpack regime frameworks, growth vs inflation impulses, trend-momentum signals and why markets flashed stress before headlines. They also cover Bitcoin positioning, liquidity fractures, interest-rate forward curves and geopolitical market levers.
AI Snips
Chapters
Books
Transcript
Episode notes
Market Signals Precede Headlines
- Markets signal regime shifts early via momentum in growth and inflation impulses rather than headlines.
- Market Radar's regime model maps growth vs inflation impulses and flagged rising inflation shocks cannibalizing growth into stagflation.
Double Check Regime With Trend Before Leveraging
- Use a double-check: require both regime (growth/inflation) and trend confirmation before taking leveraged risk.
- If trend breaks while regime still shows risk on, de-risk because the regime can lag and lacks a stop.
Momentum Pivot Beats Simple Moving Averages
- Trend pivots are measured by a momentum-based pivot called Momo, not a simple moving average.
- Momo marks the pivot where momentum flips and drives regime segmentation and trade decisions.
