Quantitude

S7E14 Sample Size Planning: The Groundhog Day Episode

21 snips
Feb 3, 2026
A lively revisit of power analysis and why sample size planning keeps coming back. They unpack a cautious strategy called Nmax to guard against unknown contextual parameters. Listeners hear about collapsing many uncertainties into a single ‘shock absorber’ and the trade offs of planning for worst-case scenarios. The conversation mixes methodology with playful asides and practical planning advice.
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INSIGHT

Power Planning Keeps Coming Back

  • Power analysis keeps reappearing as a persistent methodological problem in research practice.
  • Greg Hancock and Patrick Curran frame this episode as a third revisit to power planning and its recurring pitfalls.
ADVICE

Choose The Smallest Meaningful Effect

  • Set your focal effect to the smallest effect size that would matter in practice and defend that choice.
  • Prioritize planning for meaningful effects rather than optimistic best-case estimates.
INSIGHT

Contextual Parameters Drive Sample Size

  • Sample size needs vary dramatically across plausible values of contextual parameters you don’t care about.
  • Ignoring uncertainty in those contextual parameters can reduce power from .80 to near chance.
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