RiskReversal Pod Earnings Expectaions This Week + "He Said, She Said" Goes To Japan
11 snips
Jan 26, 2026 Kristin Kelly, M&A and media analyst, and Jen Sarbuck, macro and fixed-income strategist, join the conversation. They unpack Japan’s bond-market shock and auction mechanics. They dissect the yen carry-trade unwind and its market ripple. They also cover Netflix’s shift to an all-cash bid and why that unsettled investors.
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Episode notes
Don't Chase Big Recent Rallies
- Consider that stocks with huge recent runs need outsized beats to justify prices.
- Guy suggests avoiding chasing large moves and waiting for chops or pullbacks to build positions.
Microsoft's Pullback Creates Setup
- Microsoft sits near an important uptrend line after a pullback, offering a favorable earnings setup despite valuation worries.
- Dan notes concerns about AI adjacency and comparisons to Oracle but sees a setup for a bounce.
Memory Stocks Look Hot — And Risky
- Sandisk and Western Digital have surged on server memory demand but risk cyclical oversupply and double ordering.
- Dan wants to see beats, raises, and guide tone to justify meme-like valuations.