Radio National Breakfast Will the Strait of Hormuz open soon?
Mar 23, 2026
John W ‘Fozzie’ Miller, retired U.S. Navy Vice Admiral with deep experience in Middle East maritime operations. He explains why strikes were paused and how limited US–Iran communications might occur. He outlines what it takes to secure the Strait: an air and maritime defensive bubble, possible coastal troop placements, and roles for middle powers in protecting shipping.
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Avoid Strikes That Cripple Iranian Infrastructure
- Withholding strikes on Iranian infrastructure avoids long-term damage that would create lasting regional instability.
- John W ‘Fozzie’ Miller argues targeting power, water, or oil facilities carries consequences beyond short-term military gains, so diplomacy or alternatives are preferable.
US Iran Communication Likely Via Third Parties
- Direct US–Iran talks are rare; most communication happens through third parties or limited channels within the Iranian regime.
- Miller notes past exceptions like the JCPOA and suggests some regime parts may talk without full internal awareness.
Secure The Strait With A Defensive Bubble Not Convoys
- Create a defensive bubble around the Strait rather than convoy every merchant ship through the narrow waters.
- Miller recommends combined air and maritime power to deny missiles, drones, explosive boats, and mine-laying access to shipping lanes.